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Tuesday, October 11, 2011

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A Revolutionary New Way to Trade Options

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 12:51 PM PDT

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What "Made in China" Means for America

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 12:08 PM PDT

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China's Housing Market Slowing?


Fellow Investor,

The promise of Euro-bank re-capitalization kept the major U.S. indices up 2.5% all day yesterday. Also helping the good mood is Congress, believe it or not.

Many feel that this group of do-nothing politicians is aware that people are plenty irritated. It's hoped that their desperation will lead to a positive outcome for the jobs bill and free trade agreements with South Korea, Panama, and Colombia.

And we can only hope that the bill intended to slap some tariffs on Chinese goods never sees a vote. While there's no doubt that the Chinese yuan is undervalued, it's not likely a trade war with China will help. But it could hurt, as China is the third largest export market for the U.S.

A labor group called The Alliance for American Manufacturing says a 28.5% appreciation in the yuan would create 2.25 million American jobs and reduce the annual trade deficit by $190.5 billion. Sounds good. But a better way to improve the U.S. manufacturing sector is to give companies a reason to use it.

Take Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT). No company is more associated with "Made in China" than Wal-Mart. And U.S. consumers certainly enjoy discount prices made possible by cheap emerging market labor. If costs rise in China, then Wal-Mart will get goods made in Vietnam, or Malaysia, or wherever.

The loss of the U.S. manufacturing sector is a function of wage arbitrage, made possible by technology and globalization. Tariffs aren't going to change that.

Speaking of China, MarketWatch ran an ominous article about its housing market. And I quote:

Chinese house prices eased in September, the first such drop this year, while sales activity fell sharply in the Golden Week holiday last week, traditionally a peak period for property sales. Reports from the region citing data from the China Real Estate Index System showing
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How You Can Profit from the Eurozone... No Matter What Happens

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 10:52 AM PDT

The Penny Sleuth Features: Penny Stocks, Options and High-Growth Opportunities!
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How You Can Profit from the Eurozone... No Matter What Happens
By Jessica Comitto
October 11, 2011

Dear Penny Sleuther,

As I write, the markets are stagnant in anticipation of the Slovakian vote for the Eurozone bailout. Yesterday’s rally is taking a backseat while Eurozone fears have investors on edge... again.

The bailout in question would increase the size and power of the Eurozone bailout fund.

To fund this expansion, Slovakia would be responsible for 7.7 billion euros. The country’s entire GDP is only 65 billion. No wonder Slovakia is on the fence...

Abe Cofnas says, “In my view, fear is our friend and is very actionable.”


If you have been with us for awhile, you already know that binary options are one of the best ways to play sharp market movements — whether the markets are up or down. The best part? You don’t have to be right for the long haul... these trades are cheap and you collect your profits within one week! (If you missed Abe’s binary option tutorial, simply click here.)

Today Abe joins us to talk about one chart pattern you can use to trade “fear” in the market... a pattern that could put you on the path towards weekly profits.

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Currency In Focus: Analyzing and Trading Fear
By Abe Cofnas

Did you see the cover of The Economist last week?

Inside a picture of a black hole is printed, “Until politicians actually do something about the world economy... BE AFRAID.”

Wow! When a theme makes it to a magazine cover, it can be considered a strong sentiment event. Fear has become so pervasive that it’s literally front-page news.

But it’s important to gain some perspective on these emotionally- saturated headlines. Essentially, the fear is feeding on itself. Investors read the headlines, get scared, start selling — leading to more headlines that people should be scared and start selling.

So instead of filtering the market noise, the headlines just add to it. This is quite limiting in providing what philosophers call “veridicality” — the ability to genuinely and accurately perceive an event.

That’s why effective trading requires looking beneath the surface of market fears and seeing if we can rise above a verbal perception of market patterns. I do that every week using a variety of tools. They shape Strategic Currency Trader’s trading analysis and can enhance your ability to face and trade through market fear.

There are four I consider the most important: Parabolic patterns; price cycles; volatility; and volatility smiles.

Today I’d like to share the one with you — parabolic patterns.

Triple the income, even in a down market?

This little-known “loophole” could give you three times the income most stocks or bonds pay.

And it’s got nothing to do with sinking your money into stocks or bonds.

Rather, it was Ronald Reagan who made this possible — over 25 years ago — yet, it’s almost unknown to most Americans today.

In the simplest terms, a parabolic curve is a rapid change in the price of a security, up or down. When we see a parabolic curve, we are looking at the most reliable signature of fear.

And we don’t have to look far to find a recent example. It can be seen in the price action of the USDCAD.

As you know, Canada’s dollar, affectionately called the Loonie, is tied very closely to the price of commodities. So the headlines from Oct. 4 tell the tale:

Currency Headlines from October 4th

The morning started with oil prices falling below $100. That got people’s fears up, creating an extreme emotional reaction — with people getting out of the Canadian dollar as quickly as they could.

Then the news became less dire, and by the end of the day, news turned positive. As it flowed to investors, so did sentiment. Investors started feeling better about the Loonie, pushing its value up sharply.

These severe emotional reactions created a classic parabolic pattern.

Canadian Loonie Parabolic Pattern

Looking at the chart reveals a key feature of the parabolic pattern — it is highly predictive of a reversal. Whatever their cause, these patterns can’t hold too long. At some point, the fear of losing profits takes over and creates a wave of selling. Once it’s sold off enough, hope, and potentially delusion, takes over, and people buy in.

So whenever you see a parabolic, no matter if it’s on a five-minute pattern chart or a day chart, get ready for a sentiment reversal that leads to a subsequent price reversal.

3 Easy Steps to Epic Penny Stock Payouts

Just follow these 3 steps for the chance to start raking in penny stock gains!

Fear Is Our Friend

I hope you have gained some insight into the structure of sentiment in the price action. With the mainstream media contributing to investor anxiety, the dominance of fear is predictive of stormy market conditions.

However, it is not predictive of losses. Market turbulence translates to trading volatility. The Loonie and oil had huge sell- offs in response to major uncertainty and fear of global recession. Their parabolics and surges set up conditions for next week’s action. Meanwhile, the DAX and other indices continue to follow sell-offs and surges that are becoming cyclical in nature. And once again, binary options are the versatile tools that calibrate well to these predictable patterns.

In my view, fear is our friend and is very actionable.


Abe Cofnas
Currency Analyst for The Penny Sleuth

P.S. Binary options are a cheap, easy and exciting way to profit from market moves every week. Last week, my Strategic Currency Trader subscribers had the chance to collect 100% gains on just one trade... in just 4 days!

To find out how to get your next profit alert and start banking profits weekly, click here.

Currency In Focus: Analyzing and Trading Fear is featured at Penny Sleuth.

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Personal Finance Daily: Wall Street's early Halloween treat?

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 10:36 AM PDT

Personal Finance Daily
OCTOBER 11, 2011

Wall Street's early Halloween treat?

By MarketWatch

Don't miss these top stories:

Got your costume picked out? Shopping for spooky decorations and treats? Well, investors may be celebrating the season a little early, too, as Mark Hulbert reports in his column today on the venerable "Halloween Indicator." The stock market's impressive strength since the beginning of October is leading at least some to wonder if it's kicked in early this year, he writes. The indicator is also known as the "Sell in May and Go Away" strategy. Take a look at Hulbert's column on the historical data behind the pattern and what two market-timing investment services say about this season.

Also in today's Personal Finance section, Amy Hoak reports from the Mortgage Bankers Association's annual convention in Chicago. Read her story on the happenings both outside the Hyatt Regency — protests by various community groups — and inside, where bankers say they are working on ways to repair the struggling housing market. Hoak reports that while most of the protesters were from community groups, Rep. Jan Schakowsky, a Democrat from Illinois, joined in. "I'm showing solidarity with these people who are saying what needs to be said: 'It's the inequality, stupid,' " Schakowsky said, voicing sympathy for those losing homes and jobs. "One out of four homes in Chicago is underwater," Schakowsky said. "The banks we bailed out are not helping these people whatsoever."

Anne Stanley , Managing Editor, Personal Finance

Wall Street's early Halloween Party

Halloween is still three weeks away. But the stock market's impressive strength since the beginning of October is leading at least some to wonder if the venerable "Halloween Indicator" has kicked in early this year.
Read more: Wall Street's early Halloween Party.

Protesters rally at mortgage bankers' convention

A gathering of protesters from a variety of community groups congregate outside the Hyatt Regency late Monday, as more than 2,100 people in the mortgage-banking field attend their industry's annual convention.
Read more: Protesters rally at mortgage bankers' convention.

Why annuities aren't right for my mom

With the markets in turmoil, more investors are seeking ways to guarantee an income stream in retirement. MarketWatch's Jennifer Openshaw, seeking to help out her mother, takes a look at annuities versus bonds.
Read more: Why annuities aren't right for my mom.

College-saving plans shift to keep parents from becoming dropouts

Just as they may face another market-driven exodus, several states are making changes to their college-savings plans, hoping to keep parents calm and invested.
Read more: College-saving plans shift to keep parents from becoming dropouts.


Legitimate breakout or the latest whipsaw?

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index has just cleared its 50-day moving average for the first time since July, Michael Ashbaugh writes today in his free edition of The Technical Indicator. While the upturn is constructive, it's not clear that a true trend shift has been signaled.
Read more: Legitimate breakout or the latest whipsaw?

Why Jim Rogers is right about commodities

John Prestbo recently listened to Jim Rogers — one of the most bullish commodities investors. Prestbo says Rogers has a pretty clear vision of what lies ahead for commodities. Maybe not every detail will turn out as he forecasts, but he is more right than wrong.
Read more: Why Jim Rogers is right about commodities.


Bank regulators move toward Volcker Rule

Federal bank regulators introduce the controversial Volcker Rule, a measure that could cost big banks billions of dollars and force them to hold onto a wide variety of trades for at least two months.
Read more: Bank regulators move toward Volcker Rule.

New York faces 10,000 Wall St. cuts through 2012

Against a backdrop of falling profits on Wall Street, the Big Apple could end up shedding all of the securities-industry jobs added in the aftermath of the financial crisis.
Read more: NY faces 10,000 Wall St. cuts through 2012.

The inflation balloon is rapidly losing air

In just a few months, inflation fears have suddenly taken a back seat to other, more pressing concerns, writes MarketWatch columnist Irwin Kellner.
Read more: The inflation balloon is rapidly losing air.

Myths about Occupy Wall Street

Occupy Wall Street has succeeded in its first goal. It has big banking's attention. But are they hypocrites or heroes? Communists or capitalists? Informed or ignorant? You might be surprised.
Read more: Five myths of Occupy Wall Street.

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October 11, 2011 - Be Bullish Even If Obama Wins

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 09:47 AM PDT


Be Bullish Even If Obama Wins
10.07.11, 11:37:00 EST
Ken Fisher

Presidential elections are good for stocks.

Statistical Analysis With the Correlation Coefficient
09.30.11, 10:12:00 EST
Ken Fisher

Almost every day you can find in media commentary that XYZ is causing stocks to fall (or rise).

What Can Charlie Sheen and the Three Stooges Teach the Fed?
09.23.2011, 11:42:00 EST
Ken Fisher

Charlie Sheen's recent Hollywood rehabilitation is beyond record-making, both in speed and the depths from which he's emerged.

Perry and the Seven Dwarfs
09.16.2011, 14:55:00 EST
Ken Fisher

Unless Mitt Romney can legitimately sell himself as a die-hard Lynyrd Skynyrd fan, Rick Perry is likely the 2012 Republican nominee, in my view.

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Jefferson Innovation Summit

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 09:59 AM PDT

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Tyler Mathisen will serve as the moderator of the Jefferson Innovation Summit’s signature event, the Rotunda Dialogue. Join as they conduct their own real-time virtual "dialogue" around the very same hypothetical scenario being tackled by the Jefferson Innovation Summit delegates.

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For two days, some of the best and brightest minds in technology, education and business will gather at the University of Virginia for a conversation about how to encourage innovators and entrepreneurs to create jobs, spur economic growth, and ensure global competitiveness.
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A setback in the airlines’ battle against ETS

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 09:29 AM PDT

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Highlights of the past week's postings on our business-travel blog
» A setback in the airlines' battle against ETS
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» The travel boost
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A setback in the airlines' battle against ETS
The inclusion of airlines in Europe's emissions-trading scheme is legal, says the European Court of Justice's Advocate General. But that will not be the end of the matter
read more »
When customer service is a Twitter response
In the hotel of the future, interactions between guests and staff will take place at the touch of an iPad-and that's not an appealing thought
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Business jets for an austere age
The FAA certifies the first "remanufactured" business jet to be based on the skeleton of an old plane
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An increasing number of American companies are allowing their employees to travel in business class
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The travel boost
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Registered office: 25 St James's Street, London, SW1A 1HG - Mid Day Alert 10-11-2011

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 09:16 AM PDT

Mid Day Alert 10-11-2011

JKS - Momentum
JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of solar power products in China and internationally.

MOTR - Volume Alert
Motricity, Inc. enables mobile operators, brands, and advertising agencies to maximize the reach and economic potential of the mobile ecosystem through the delivery of relevance-driven merchandising, marketing, and advertising solutions.

CDTI - Volume Alert
Clean Diesel Technologies, Inc. engages in the manufacture and distribution of emissions control systems and products for heavy duty diesel and light duty vehicle markets.


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Top Forex News

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 09:08 AM PDT

Top Forex News

CAD Goes Lower as Fears for Europe Intensifies

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 08:46 AM PDT

Canadian DollarThe Canadian dollar retreated today as the worries about the crisis in the European Union overshadowed the positive data from Canada’s hosing market.(...)
Read the rest of CAD Goes Lower as Fears for Europe Intensifies (77 words)

Posted on Forex News.

Fears About Europe Again Hit Forex Again, Rand Feels Impact

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 07:55 AM PDT

South African randThe South African rand dropped today as the concerns about the sovereign-debt crisis in Europe reminded about itself by dissipating risk appetite among Forex traders.(...)
Read the rest of Fears About Europe Again Hit Forex Again, Rand Feels Impact (61 words)

Posted on Forex News.

Euro Lower as Slovakia Presents Last EFSF Roadblock

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 07:49 AM PDT

EuroEuro is struggling today as risk aversion sets in, and as concerns about Slovakia‘s approval of the EFSF come to light. Slovakia is the last eurozone country to vote on expanding the bailout fund meant to contain the sovereign debt crisis.

Read the rest of Euro Lower as Slovakia Presents Last EFSF Roadblock (142 words)

Posted on Forex News.

Soft Data in UK Could Mean Slide for Pound

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 06:19 AM PDT

Great Britain poundOnce again, the UK economy is in focus as the latest data release offers disappointment. Manufacturing production in August fell 0.3 percent, and analysts are once again returning to the fact that the British economy saw quarter two growth at just 0.1 percent.

Read the rest of Soft Data in UK Could Mean Slide for Pound (172 words)

Posted on Forex News.

Recent Losses Attract Traders to Franc, Will SNB Intervene?

Posted: 10 Oct 2011 11:22 AM PDT

Swiss francThe Swiss franc advanced today against all other most-traded currencies as the recent weakness of the currency attracted Forex traders.(...)
Read the rest of Recent Losses Attract Traders to Franc, Will SNB Intervene? (98 words)

Posted on Forex News.

Free eBook: 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 09:03 AM PDT

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5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions

Greetings Trader,

Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International (EWI) has just released a free 14-page trading eBook: Trading the Line - 5 Ways You Can Use Trendlines to Improve Your Trading Decisions, by Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy.

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Action Insight Mid-Day Report 10-11-11

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 07:39 AM PDT
Action Insight Market Overview Markets Snapshot

Mid-Day Report: Risk Appetite Recedes on Profit Taking, Awaits Slovakia Vote

Risk appetite recedes mildly as markets are awaiting Slovakia's vote on beefing up the EFSF funds. Slovakia is the last of the seventeen countries in Eurozone to vote on the agreement made on July 21 on expanding the EFSF fund and enhancing its power. There are mild concern on the outcome as the right-of-center coalition government is divided over its support for the vote. The major opposition party could vote for a repeat vote after a government reshuffle. Traders are concerned on the possibility of delay.

Full Report Here...


Featured Technical Report

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5439; (P) 1.5542; (R1) 1.5663; More.

With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral for the moment. Below 1.5527 minor support will indicate that recovery from 1.5271 has completed and will flip bias to the downside for retesting this low first. On the upside, break of 1.5715 will confirm a short term bottom is formed at 1.5271 on bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. In such case, stronger rise would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.6618 to 1.5271 at 1.6103 before staging another decline.


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GMT Ccy Events Actual Consensus Previous Revised
23:01 GBP RICS House Price Balance Sep -23.00% -24.00% -23.00%
23:01 GBP BRC Sales Like-For-Like Y/Y Sep 0.30% -0.90% -0.60%
23:50 JPY Adjusted Current Account Total (JPY) Aug 0.65T 0.51T 0.75T
00:30 AUD NAB Business Confidence Sep -2 -8
05:00 JPY Household Consumer Confidence Sep 38.6 37.2 37
05:00 JPY BoJ Monthly Economic Report
06:00 JPY Eco Watchers Survey: Current Sep 45.3 46.5 47.3
08:30 GBP Industrial Production M/M Aug 0.20% -0.20% -0.20% -0.40%
08:30 GBP Industrial Production Y/Y Aug -1.00% -1.20% -0.70% -0.90%
08:30 GBP Manufacturing Production M/M Aug -0.30% -0.10% 0.10% -0.20%
08:30 GBP Manufacturing Production Y/Y Aug 1.50% 1.60% 1.90% 2.60%
08:30 GBP DCLG UK House Prices Y/Y Aug -1.30% 2.30% -1.50%
12:15 CAD Housing Starts Sep 206K 186.1K 184.7K
14:00 GBP NIESR GDP Estimate Sep 0.5% 0.20%
Orders and Options Watch

US Session: Orders and Options Watch

EUR: Although the single currency rallied on Merkel's and Sarkozy's pledge to solve EU debt crisis, euro retreated in part due to weakness in European stock markets, bids at 1.3600 were absorbed, however, bids are still noted from 1.3570 to 1.3550 and also at 1.3525-30 and mixture of bids and stops is located at 1.3490-00. On the upside, some offers are noted at 1.3630 and 1.3660/65 with fair size stops placed above latter level, however, sizeable offers remain sitting at 1.3690-00 with more stops planted above option barrier at 1.3700.


Forex Trade Ideas

Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF – Sell at 0.9160

Dollar’s rebound after holding above yesterday’s low at 0.9004 suggests near term upside risk is for retracement of yesterday’s decline to 0.9147 (previous support as well as 50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9290-0.9004), however, reckon 0.9162 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9319-0.9004) would limit upside and bring another decline later. A break of said support at 0.9004 would extend the decline from 0.9319 top for a stronger correction of recent upmove to 0.8980/85


Trade Idea Update: EUR/USD – Buy at 1.3500

As the single currency has remained under pressure after intra-day brief bounce to 1.3673, suggesting near term downside risk remains for the fall from yesterday’s high of 1.3699 to bring retracement of recent rise to 1.3524-30 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3242-1.3699, previous resistance and 50% Fibonacci retracement of 1.3360-1.3699), however, reckon the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 1.3502) should limit downside and bring another rise later.


Candlesticks Intraday Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
1st Update: 0630 - 0700; 2nd Update: 0930 - 1000; 3rd Update: 1230 - 1300; 4th Update: 1500 - 1530

Elliott Wave Daily Trade Ideas Update Schedule (GMT):
AUD/USD, EUR/JPY: 0800 - 0830; EUR/GBP, USD/CAD: 1430 - 1500

Suggested Readings

Fundamental Highlights

Technical Highlights

Forward this report to a friend!

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Last Chance: Our top gold stock-pick for $1

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 07:33 AM PDT

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Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 07:19 AM PDT

Forex Market Updates & Commentary

Link to Forex News and Commentary by FXDD

US Economic Optimism Strengthens to 40.3 vs 39.4 Survey and Prior of 39.9

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 07:04 AM PDT

EURUSD approaches the 38.2% of the last trend move higher at 1.3568

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:57 AM PDT

The 38.2% of the move up from Friday’s low comes in at the 1.3568 level.   The level should find some profit taking interest with a break lower targeting the next retracement area at the 1.3529 area.  The high from Thursday comes in at the 1.3523 level. This should also increase the importance of the level.

On the topside 1.3615 was a floor level from earlier in the trading day. It capped the last hour of trading – before the move down in the last few minutes of trading.

Moody’s says US growth pace leaves it vulnerable to a new downturn

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:51 AM PDT

Cites a 40% chance for another recession.

Bobbys Corner-Open Market-Oct.11.2011

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:51 AM PDT

Good Morning:

Quotes from the five best foreign-exchange forecasters (as measured by Bloomberg), say that the best is over for the dollar.  The rally that has helped the greenback has no chance of continuing-as the slow US economy will force the Fed to flood the world with USD, to inject liquidity into the financial sector through bond purchases.  With almost 3 years of near zero interest rates, and $2.35 billion of bond purchases during the same 3 years pulled the US out of a recession, but the faltering economy has some analysts fearing a new recession is brewing on the horizon.

The Euro was a bit softer ahead of a vote by Slovakian Lawmakers on the Euro Zone bailout.  Most feel that this will pass, but that the vote will be messy-thus adding additional uncertainty to an already uncertain situation.
In other Euro Zone news, the  Greek government is  comenting that the budget deficit will be 9.1% of Greek GDP-versus the original target of 7.5%.  I am not surprised-are you?  

Asian equity markets were higher, following NY”s rally on Monday (up 330 points).  European markets and US Futures are lower at this time.

Gold and oil are lower.


Slovak Finance Minister Miklos says lawmakers will eventually approve EFSF

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:45 AM PDT

It seems the comment implies it may not be today..

EU Barroso says to make proposal on recapitalising banks on Wednesday

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:32 AM PDT

  • Looking for comprehensive package for sovereigns and banks

Meanwhile the final vote from Slovakia is due this NY morning.  The Slovakia finance minister is on the newswires saying EFSF is necessary to tame the debt crisis.

NY Morning Forex Commentary for October 11th 2011

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:25 AM PDT

Canada Housing Starts

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:18 AM PDT

Canada Housing Starts:   Survey: 189.5K   Actual: 205.9K  Prior: 184.7  Revised:  184.6

USD/CAD stays flat on the news.

Troika says Greece will miss 2011 targets, but to likely get next tranche in early November

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 04:50 AM PDT

  • Additional measures are likely needed to meet 2013/14 targets
  • Progress has been uneven
  • Greek recission deeper than anticipated
  • Privatization revenues to be lower this year.
  • Greek will likely get the tranche in early November
  • Essential that Greek authorities put more emphasis on structural reforms

It seems the game is simply getting extended and extended.


Canada Housing Starts Due at 8:15AM

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 04:45 AM PDT

Greek haircut of 40-60% are under consideration

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 04:43 AM PDT

  • Greek Debt deemed unsustainable
  • Debate on whether haircut should involve ECB and EU governments

Going ahead 23rd October EU meeting to discuss plans for Greece
November 3rd, G20 meeting. EU present plan

A few days before the g20, the Ecofin (finance ministers) will meet.

UK August Manufacturing Production drops 0.3%

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 01:36 AM PDT

A 0.1% decline was expected.

Industrial Production rose 0.2%, stronger than the 0.2% decline expected.

Gbp/Usd is off about 15 points on news, currently trading at 1.5635.

Trichet on the wires

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 01:33 AM PDT

* Euro crisis has reached systemic dimension

* situation remained demanding over past few weeks

* sovereign stress has moved to larger nations

* contagion threatens financial stability

* governments must act swiftly

* further delays will worsen situation

Eur/Usd from a daily perspective

Posted: 10 Oct 2011 10:47 PM PDT


Eur/Usd is currently trading just below the 38.2% fibo (1.3677) of move down from 8/29 high of 1.4548 to 10/3 low of 1.3166. The pair has failed in recent trade to make a clean break above as 1.3700, which has been a formidable level of resistance. A break above should send the pair higher, with 1.3790-00 acting as next level of resistance.














10-11 Economic Calendar

Posted: 10 Oct 2011 08:42 PM PDT

The Economic Times Markets Watch Newsletter

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 06:46 AM PDT

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Dated:11 October,2011
Top Headlines

Sensex ends in red; tech, oil&gas, FMCG down

The 30-share BSE Sensex pared intraday gains and closed in the negative territory as bulls took a breather after a sharp rally in past few sessions.

SBI plans to raise Rs 5,000 crore from rights issue by March

SBI had given a proposal for Rs 20,000 crore rights issue a few months ago and it is being examined by the government.

Indian markets will recover sooner than most analysts expect: Nirmal Jain, IIFL

Global factors may cause jitters, but owing to fundamental strength, markets will recover sooner than most analysts expect, says Nirmal Jain, IIFL.

Views on Stocks/Markets
IPO/Global Markets
Rupee / Gold
More 'Market' News
Market Round-up
SENSEX 16536.47 -20.76
NIFTY 4974.35 -5.25
NASDAQ 2141.54 17.78
DJIA 10060.06 19.61
RS/$ 46.79 -0.14
NSE Gainers
Scrip Price(Rs.) %Change
OM Metals Infraprojects L
29.25 + 20.12
Commercial Engineers & Bo
36.80 + 20.07
Gravita India Ltd.
442.20 + 19.43
Career Point Ltd.
278.70 + 12.06
ITI Ltd.
23.70 + 11.79
NSE Losers
Scrip Price(Rs.) %Change
J D Orgochem Ltd.
3.90 -27.78
Zenith Infotech Ltd.
112.20 -20.00
Electrotherm (India) Ltd.
137.50 -13.49
Nucent Estates Ltd.
2.05 -10.87
STL Global Ltd.
3.75 -10.71


Posted: 11 Oct 2011 06:18 AM PDT


Canadian housing starts were stronger than expected in September

Canadian housing starts rose a stronger than expected 7.3% to 205,900 annualized units in September from the upwardly revised 191,900 units in August (initially reported as 184,600). Market expectations were for a more moderate 2.7% increase to 189,500. The gain in September partially reverses the unexpectedly large 10.2% drop in August (previously reported as a 9.7% drop; July housing starts were upwardly revised to 213,600 from 204,500 previously) and was driven by a jump in the volatile multiples component.

The strength in housing starts in September was driven by a 14.2% increase in the urban multiples component to 118,000 annualized units. The increase partially unwound August’s sharp 16.1% decline. The rural start component saw a 1.5% increase to 20,000 annualized units while urban singles starts fell 1.5% to 67,900 annualized units, the category’s lowest pace of construction activity since May.

Extremely strong gains were seen in the Atlantic region (47.0%), Quebec (32.0%) and British Columbia (18.6%), which all saw surges in urban multiples (85.4%, 44.5%, and 27.6%, respectively). The pace of new home construction in Ontario and the Prairies declined in the month to provide some offset, with activity down 3.5% and 12.1%, respectively.

The unexpectedly large increase in housing starts in September, combined with upward revisions to both July and August, gives a quarterly pace of 203,800 annualized units for the third quarter of 2011. This represents a 5.9% increase over the pace seen in the second quarter of 2011 and marks the highest level of new residential construction activity since the third quarter of 2008. This is consistent with our expectation that the residential investment component of real GDP grew at a solid clip in the quarter and provided a boost to overall growth.

David Onyett-Jeffries, Economist, RBC Economics

To view the economic data calendars with trend charts, go to:  (Canada) (United States)

The statements and statistics contained herein have been prepared by the RBC Economics Research based on information from sources considered to be reliable. We make no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to its accuracy or completeness. This report is for the information of investors and business persons and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy securities.





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The Economic Times Daily Newsletter

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 06:17 AM PDT

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Dated:October 11,2011
Top Headlines

Wipro lines up low-cost products like tablet computers for social benefits

Wipro has identified education and health care as the next big business opportunities as it prepares to launch a host of low-cost products.

SBI plans to raise Rs 5,000 crore from rights issue by March

SBI had given a proposal for Rs 20,000 crore rights issue a few months ago and it is being examined by the government.

How timing return can help NRIs minimise taxes on overseas income

Though finding a job would be easier in India, especially for those with good degrees, figuring out the tax liability - may be a daunting task.

Most Read Story
Steve sat on the floor and said "Namaste". He said "You are the master of selling technology to Wall Street and I want to learn from you," recalls Ranadive.
Most E-mailed Story
Though finding a job would be easier in India, especially for those with good degrees, figuring out the tax liability - may be a daunting task.
Most Commented Story
Richest Indian woman or not, Nita still does the weekly hisaab of kitchen spends, a habit she learned from her mother-in-law.
Latest Updates
Market Round-up
SENSEX 16536.47 -20.76
NIFTY 4974.35 -5.25
NASDAQ 2141.54 17.78
DJIA 10060.06 19.61
RS/$ 46.79 -0.14
NSE Gainers
Scrip Price(Rs.) %Change
OM Metals Infraprojects L
29.25 + 20.12
Commercial Engineers & Bo
36.80 + 20.07
Gravita India Ltd.
442.20 + 19.43
Career Point Ltd.
278.70 + 12.06
ITI Ltd.
23.70 + 11.79
NSE Losers
Scrip Price(Rs.) %Change
J D Orgochem Ltd.
3.90 -27.78
Zenith Infotech Ltd.
112.20 -20.00
Electrotherm (India) Ltd.
137.50 -13.49
Nucent Estates Ltd.
2.05 -10.87
STL Global Ltd.
3.75 -10.71

Webinar: Design Your Own Unique Theory of Trading

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 06:10 AM PDT

Webinar Event: How to Design Your Own Unique Theory of Trading

Thursday, October 13th
3:30 p.m. Central Time (4:30 p.m. ET)
Jeff Quinto,

Do you have your own unique "Theory of Trading" to help guide you throughout your trading career?

Join Jeff Quinto for this live webcast introducing his theory and outlining how you can design your own to serve as the foundation of your trading.

Designed to help you become a consistent trader over the long term, your unique theory of trading can define how you believe the market operates and outline how you are going to capitalize on the opportunities the market presents.

In Jeff's view, relying on tactics only to build a trading career is a key reason many traders are initially successful only to fail later. Traders who rely on a tactic to trade may fail when that tactic no longer works. The market evolved away from the tactic, but the trader did not!

Jeff will also review the many advantages of futures trading and how both new and experienced traders can best capitalize on these opportunities. Pulling from his 37 years of trading experience moving from the floor to electronic trading, Jeff will explore why he feels CME Group futures provide the ideal marketplace for traders.

Finally, Jeff will outline the critical role the use of a trading simulator plays as a key tool in learning to effectively trade futures, especially the E-mini S&P 500 (ES).

Jeff Quinto is a 37-year veteran futures trader and a world-class trading coach. Jeff has coached hundreds of electronic traders from around the world in his Professional Trader Mentoring Program. Jeff was a member of the Kansas City Board of Trade and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. He is the former President of Rand Financial Services and co-owned an electronic proprietary trading company with offices in Chicago and Vienna Austria that specialized in trading Eurex Bund, Bobl and FESX futures. Jeff is a former Lecturer at Northwestern University's School where he taught electronic trading and currently speaks to trading groups around the world.


Learn to design your own Theory of Trading to capitalize on the opportunities the market presents!
The information provided herein is taken from sources believed to be reliable. However, it is intended for purposes of information and education only and is not guaranteed by CME Group, Inc. or any of its subsidiaries as to accuracy, completeness, nor any trading result and does not constitute trading advice or constitute a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options. The Rulebook of the applicable exchange should be consulted as the authoritative source on all current contract specifications.

CME Group is a trademark of CME Group Inc. The Globe logo, CME, Chicago Mercantile Exchange, E-mini and Globex are trademarks of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. CBOT and Chicago Board of Trade are trademarks of the Board of Trade of the City of Chicago. NYMEX, New York Mercantile Exchange and ClearPort are trademarks of New York Mercantile Exchange Inc. COMEX is a trademark of Commodity Exchange Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.

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Why Gold's Going to $2,000

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 06:00 AM PDT

China Declares War
on U.S. and Britain

This under reported "war" will change everything about the way you invest: starting with gold.

Dear Real,

This past July, China fired its opening salvo against the U.S. and British gold exchanges.

This fall China will unleash an even bigger explosion, essentially declaring war on COMEX (the leading U.S. exchange for metals futures and options trading) and the London Bullion Market Exchange, as well as other smaller gold exchanges.

The result will send shockwaves throughout the global gold market and present profit opportunities to investors who act quickly.

Gold prices will rise to even higher than we've seen recently and those who take the right steps now (I'll tell you more about that) will enjoy a big payday.

If you're thinking you haven't seen any big price jumps in gold recently and that current prices are here to stay you need to just look at the last five years.

You'll see that every time gold makes a leg up investors take profits that push down prices and then the run-up begins again and takes gold to the next level. . . essentially, the next shockwaves is about to begin.

The impact will take effect during the rest of this year and into next year. Recent pullbacks in gold prices have created prime opportunities for the steps I suggest.

In a moment I'll tell you what those steps are . . .

And no, it's not about buying China stocks (too many shenanigans going on there for my taste).

And it's not about buying physical gold from China (same reason as above)

And it's not about buying physical gold from anyone else. (I like to keep things simple.)

It is about buying any one or all of 5 very particular mining stocks: all solid, North American mining companies that have some special things going for them: beyond what gold miners already have.

Before I tell you the event--the move that will essentially be a shot across the bow of the U.S. and British gold exchanges--let me give you some important background.

This past July, China launched the Pan Asian Gold Exchange.

This new exchange will act like a giant global sponge soaking up massive amounts of gold, and in the process driving up gold prices. Stock prices of well-positioned mining companies that can meet this demand will see their share prices run and enrich investors along the way.

The exchange is owned by the Chinese government and is being actively promoted as an easy way for ordinary citizens to buy gold.

China's affinity for gold is not new. The average Chinese citizen has been buying physical gold for a long time, and right now they are hungry for more. But it's been a cumbersome process for them.

Through the new exchange, the Chinese will be able to easily buy 10-oz mini-contracts for physical gold directly through their computer and link it to their bank accounts.

That's how easy the AG Bank of China (the provider in these sales) is making gold buying for its customers....

All 320,000,000 of them!
(Think of it - this one bank alone has as many potential gold customers as the entire U.S. population)

The effect this will have on the demand for gold will be staggering. Consider this:

If just 1% of their customers bought a single 10-oz contract, that would require a new physical demand of 1,000 tons of gold. (And at current gold prices that equals over $60 billion.)

So just from its Chinese customers alone, the Pan Asian Gold Exchange will send the demand soaring. And an even bigger catalyst is coming . . .

The Fall Explosion

Later this fall, the exchange will permit international investors to buy 90 day rolling spot contracts. (Major European and North American brokerages will enable investors worldwide to invest in the Pan Asian Gold Exchange.)

And here's the kicker...the exchange will allocate a bar of gold to every bar of gold sold in their market.

Seems like a pretty innocent statement, doesn't it?

Many investors are surprised to find out that in the major gold exchanges most of the gold you buy is backed only by paper gold.

With paper gold, you don't actually own the gold; you own a promise to receive physical gold. Not exactly the real thing! And not exactly the security that investors are demand these days.

With the Pan Asian exchange investors will be able to buy the real thing.

The opportunity to buy and own real gold comes at a time when world events are creating an almost perfect storm for investing in gold:

  • The Greek debt crisis has become contagious and is spreading throughout Europe... Italy was downgraded... pressure is on France... there's serious talk of the Euro collapsing altogether with more bad news coming daily

  • U.S. credit downgraded for the first time ever

  • Growing U.S. debt crisis with the so-called "super committee" already deadlocked

  • Fears of a worldwide recession (and possibly worse) with top economists now projecting the odds of the U.S. entering another recession at 50/50

  • Slowing growth in emerging markets that had been the saving grace for investors

I could go on but, you know what's happening - it's in the news every day.

But here's the good news for you.

Just about everyone is aware of the global economic crisis... and even the new Pan Asian Gold Exchange is somewhat known (at least to gold bugs). But the implications of the Fall explosion are not understood by most investors (except for those reading this timely letter for the first time).

That's why the immense impact on gold demand has not yet been factored into gold prices. So get set for big run-up.

...But it's not just gold.

Why the new Pan Asian Gold Exchange may be the best thing to ever happen to Silver, too.

The Pan Asian Gold Exchange is a metals market - and will also be offering silver contracts. Silver is up nearly 10 fold in the past decade (even more than gold), and the impact the exchange will have on silver is even bigger.

Silver is a much smaller market than gold and already in tight supply. Consider this:

If just 1% of the Agricultural Bank of China (the main bank making offers through the Pan Asian Gold Exchange) customers each bought just 500 ounces of silver, the Exchange would need to come up with 1.6 billion ounces of silver in a hurry!

For perspective, the most recent number on TOTAL worldwide mining production of silver is only 735 million ounces: meaning they'd have to scramble to fine nearly 900 million more ounces to deliver and would drive up silver prices along the way.

The demand for physical silver is set to explode. The springboard silver has needed to realize its price potential is here.

5 stocks set to spike because of the new exchange

We've looked at a number of key criteria to determine which stocks will help you ride the China Gold Shockwave. One key criteria is undervalued mining companies that are on schedule to ramp up production.

This is critical since miners who can quickly ramp up production are the ones that can capture the biggest profits from a metal's price gains.

Even if these miners just maintain costs while increasing production the profits flow to their bottom line and lead to higher stock prices.

We've found 5 currently undervalued mining stocks that meet all the criteria and are poised to ride the effect of the increased demand for physical gold.

A word of caution: The smart money will load up on these as soon as they get a whiff of the new dynamic in the metals market. This won't be under the radar for very long. As the effect of international investment on the exchange takes hold, prices of these stocks will catapult. Get in too late and you'll miss the early run-up.

You can get the inside scoop on the new Pan Asian Gold Exchange in my special research report: The Secret Gold Exchange with 5 hot stock recommendations you should jump on today.

Let me just tell you a bit about some of the stocks in the report . . .

Gold or Silver?

Gold has had the biggest run-up... while silver has the biggest upside potential. So which to invest in?

How about both - with one stock.

You get 2 for one action with this mining company which has 60% of its production in gold and 40% in silver. And there are more reasons why I am so high on this stock.

When the company released its financial report this summer covering the second quarter, the results were nothing less than spectacular.

  • Revenues rocketed a record 98% over the second quarter the previous year.

  • Operating cash flow jumped 251%.

  • Net free cash flow rose 263% over the previous year.

  • Profit margins leap-frogged 75% over the previous year.

On the heels of such stellar results, production is expected to rise 36% this year ...  yet production costs will be lower. You read that correctly: production will rise while costs will decrease. That's a winning recipe for any company and particularly for a miner. So it's not surprising that analysts say earnings per share will shoot up nearly 200% in 2011...

And there is a new catalyst for further stock growth:

The company recently acquired another miner. Analysts call it a steal, saying that with this acquisition the company is poised to deliver huge cash flows as early as next year. Right now comparing it to miners with a similar cost structure this company is very inexpensive and a great buying opportunity.

The best news for shareholders is that the company's recent performance has not yet been priced into the stock. Why? Because retail investors flee at the slightest blip in gold prices. But seasoned gold investors know that the steady upward march of gold prices means higher gold miner stock prices, plain and simple. So the sooner you get into this gold and silver miner, the more profits you can expect to pocket.

I'll share with you how to get started in a minute, but you really need to know about the other gold stocks that my research produced.

How a 1,000% increase in EPS can be money flowing to your bank account

The next miner I recommend in the report also gives you exposure to increases in both gold and silver prices. In fact, this company is expected to increase production of its silver from its mine in Mexico by 175-192%.

Not that its gold production is a slacker. Its gold production is expected to increase 80-90% over the next few years.

Perhaps the biggest reason for you to latch on to this stock is the eye-popping earnings forecast for the company. Most of its reserves come from a highly productive cash cow mine. Analysts are so high on this mine and its affect on the company that they anticipate a 1,000% increase in earnings per share by the end of 2011 over the previous year!

Earnings like that are like rocket fuel for a stock price. Load up on this one and hang on till it reaches my target price and pocket your winnings.

There are 3 other winners in my report. All mining companies that adhere to the formula of increasing production while reducing costs.

The third company saw net earnings from continuing operations during the second quarter of this year jump 253% over the previous year. With its anticipated reduction of production costs this stock could soon double . . .

The fourth miner increased gold production by 50% in the second quarter of 2011 compared to the same period last year. Not surprisingly its quarterly revenue rose 134% in the same period. Look for its stock price to catch up to its torrid performance . . .

The fifth company on the list is also on a tear. Revenues nearly doubled in the most recent reporting quarter of 2011 (the company has an unusual fiscal year that ends in April) over the same period in 2010.

By decreasing costs and ramping up production, these companies fatten their bottom line. As their profits grow, their share price follows. It's pretty simple.

If you want profit from the impact of the new Pan Asia Gold Exchange, you should get the inside scoop on these stocks before word gets out.

You can find out all about the new exchange and the 5 stocks set to soar in my new report, The Secret Gold Exchange.

I'm Ian Wyatt, Chief Investment Strategist of Wyatt Investment Research. You may know of me and Wyatt Investment Research from some of our other investment advisory services and the research we regularly provide to nearly half a million investors.

While a number of our investment advisory services are focused on small cap stocks, dividend stocks, trading, options, etc. we believe that in this economy it's critically important to diversify and to have some of your assets in stable mid and large cap stocks that can offer you superior growth and fast returns at a reasonable price.

That's exactly what you'll find in The Secret Gold Exchange special report. And right now I am making this extremely timely report available to you at a shockingly next to nothing. Normally this report is only available to our paid up subscribers.

                   But right now you can get the report for only $29.95 - and
                   as a special bonus you'll receive a 3 month totally free
                   trial subscription to my Top Stock Insights
investment newsletter.

Why are you getting offer now?

Simple: we are in precarious times.

Everyone is worried and for good reason. In a recent front page article, The New York Times stated that "market swings are becoming the new standard."

The article also pointed out that "canny investors could profit from the big swings." Top Stock Insights will turn you into that kind of "canny investor" who profits from the new market dynamic.

I want you to see for yourself how Top Stock Insights can fatten your portfolio.

Where else can you get a 75% win rate on stocks?

And the returns we've delivered to our subscribers prove how valuable this newsletter is.

During the past 3 years - a very difficult period in the market as you know - 34 out of 46 stocks I recommended in Top Stocks Insight have been winners. That's nearly a 75% win rate. Better than practically ANYONE in the market today.

The average gains have been 12.5% and the average hold time 3 months.

Imagine increasing your wealth 12.5% every 3 months. Well that's exactly what we've delivered.

How have we done it?

At Top Stock Insights we focus like a laser beam on important global trends and the impact they have on market sectors and individual companies. Every weekly issue analyzes these developments for important insights and provides you with actionable information and recommendations that you can add to your portfolio.

When the government's stimulus plan sparked inflation fears, Top Stock Insights showed how silver would sparkle during this period. I recommended silver company Hecla Mines. The result: Subscribers made a whopping 81% gain in just six months...

When a weak U.S. dollar signaled a spike in oil prices, I told subscribers to fuel up on Cameron International. The result? Readers made a sweet 52% gain in 4 months...

When health care reform passed I instructed readers to take positions in the healthcare stocks would profit the most and the fastest. That's how our subscribers enjoyed a healthy 33% gain on Celgene.

The point is while U.S. and global trends may spell doom and gloom for certain parts of the market, other parts will shine . . . if you know where to look. We know where to look and we tell you every week in Top Stock Insights.

Here are just a few other recent winners our subscribers enjoyed.

Alpha Natural Resource +36.74

                  Sterlite industries +25.69

                                       Yamana Gold +25%

                                                             NetApp +47.1

                                                                               Coinstar +33.4

No matter how volatile the market there is always money being made somewhere. We find where money is to be made and bring that research to you.

And if you're ready for a steady paycheck of 12.5% every three months then you need to try Top Stock Insights and you can start with our new gold and silver special situations research report.

And for a limited time you'll get a FREE three-month bonus subscription to Top Stock Insights when you order my special report The Secret Gold Exchange for just $29.95.

This free 3 month trial subscription to Top Stock Insights gives you immediate access to all of our high quality independent investment research, including:

  • 13 weekly issues of my Top Stock Insights newsletter, featuring profit opportunities from top-notch analysis from me and my team of analysts, all written in easy to read plain English

  • Full, unfettered access to the Top Stock Insights website, including the stock portfolio and issue archive and all special situations reports

  • Vetted, proprietary research on TWO new investment recommendations every month

  • Free research from our library of special reports like the new one mentioned above

  • Timely action alert buy and sell notices delivered right to your inbox

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    If at any point during your first 30 days you're not completely convinced that Top Stock Insights is the path to double digit gains then you can cancel and receive a full and immediate refund: no hard feelings, no run-around, no questions asked.

Yes, there will be volatility ahead. It's the world we live in. But with Top Stock Insights you can be one of the canny investors who turns volatility into profits. See for yourself with my new research report and a free 3 month subscription to Top Stock Insights.

This is a limited time offer that ends soon, so don't wait . . .


Click Here to Order Your Report



Best Regards,

Ian Wyatt
Chief Investment Strategist
Top Stock Insights

P.S. As I mentioned, the impact of opening the Pan Asian Gold Exchange to international investors is not understood by most investors. So right now you have a big advantage over other investors.

Get my special report, The Secret Gold Exchange, (along with the free 3-month subscription to Top Stock Insights) and make the most of it.


Note: your first 3 months of Top Stock Insights is free with your purchase of the special report. After three months your subscription will automatically renew for a full year (52 weekly issues) of Top Stock Insights for only $199. You may cancel at any time by calling or emailing our customer service department.

* Investing in stocks carries certain risks for loss just as much as it presents opportunities for rewards. While each of the stocks in this new investment report has been thoroughly researched by professional analysts, investors are advised to perform their own research and due diligence before investing. Future returns claims made in this promotion are based on calculations and evaluations made to the best of the ability of Top Stock Insights research analysts, however they CANNOT be guaranteed and should not be considered as such.

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Daily Trader's Alert: Is It Too Late to Buy?

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:59 AM PDT

Daily Trader's Alert

10/11/2011 08:41AM


Is It Too Late to Buy?
If you're in doubt about the major market trend just look at the charts. Get my take on the markets.

Take Aim at Sturm, Ruger & Co.
The firearm manufacturer recently flashed a strong buy signal. Get RGR's target.

Have a good day trading,

Signed- Sam Collins

Sam Collins
Editor, Daily Trader’s Alert

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A Surprising Forecast by Forbes Columnist Ken Fisher's Firm

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:34 AM PDT

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This must-read report includes our latest stock market forecast, plus research and analysis you can use in your portfolio right now.
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A Hard Year for Heroes (Or, an Ode to Staying Power)

Posted: 11 Oct 2011 05:18 AM PDT

Inside Investing Daily - a Service of Insiders Strategy Group
Print Edition Archives About Us Whitelist us Confirm Your Subscription
Tues., October 11, 2011

This Monopoly-Buster Is Your Key to Huge Gains!

If you think our dependence on foreign oil is a threat, consider the fact that China now produces over 95% of the world's supply of critical rare earth minerals, mostly in Inner Mongolia, even though it has only 37% of the world's proven reserves.

New demands for this high-tech metal are already straining supply, and the world may soon face a shortage. In several years, worldwide demand is expected to exceed supply by 40,000 tonnes annually unless major new sources are developed.

Meanwhile, China has announced plans to reduce its export quota to 35,000 tons per year, a move that would spell disaster for Western manufactures of everything from cellphones to wind turbines and hybrid cars.

But now, a still-undiscovered-by-Wall-Street Canadian company is in the process of developing a vast alternate source. Whether the stock market goes up or down, the long-term demand for this rare commodity will continue to grow and all but guarantees this newcomer will be the next in its group to reward early investors with spectacular profits.

URGENT FREE REPORT explains why it's so important to invest in this company now, before it gets listed on a major U.S. exchange.


A Hard Year for Heroes (Or, an Ode to Staying Power)
by Justice Litle, Editor, Insiders Strategy Group

Dear Reader,

If your retirement account is in good shape this year, you are ahead of Wall Street's finest. One of the world's largest hedge funds has nearly been cut in half.

John Paulson made billions with a huge bet on the housing bubble. His success attracted a flood of capital. At the peak, Paulson's funds managed a whopping $38 billion.

In 2011, though, John Paulson made another huge bet on economic recovery -- a forecast that never came to pass.

His conviction, and the size of his bets, turned against him with a vengeance in 2011. At the end of September, Reuters reports, Paulson's largest fund was down 47%. (His other funds are down double digits too, in varying amounts.)

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Salida Capital, a Toronto-based hedge fund with a focus on energy and gold, was also cut in half as of September's end (down 49.4%). Three-quarters of that decline came in a single month. Salida had extreme exposure to gold and gold stocks (as did Paulson), and the two-edged sword of leverage cuts deep.

It isn't just those two, though. Many big-name investors are taking lumps in 2011, Institutional Investor magazine reports. Mark Mobius of Templeton Emerging Markets -- down 22%. Bill Ackman of Pershing Square -- down 17%. Value investor Whitney Tilson of T2 Partners -- down 29%. (All these numbers are on an end-of-September basis.)

"Where's the hedging?" jokes Institutional Investor.

A dirty secret of the managed money industry is that, while some funds actually do "hedge" (i.e. take pains to guard against large losses), many of them do not. Given this reality, it might make sense to call them "levered funds" instead.

For investors, it might be useful to distinguish between funds that truly guard against loss, and those whose idea of risk control is "picking the best stocks" or simply "being right."

One could further say there is a style of investing -- call it hero investing -- where the manager bets the farm on a very specific worldview. If that worldview comes to pass, and does so in the right time frame, the result is champagne and roses. But if things turn out other than expected, the results can be awful.

It's been a hard year for heroes. Those making big wagers on economic recovery have seen their portfolios battered by top-down macroeconomic shocks. And those expecting full-on collapse have been repeatedly thwarted by last-minute hope jags.

("Stocks rise on Europe optimism," a recent headline read. "Stocks rise on same old B.S.," it should have said, "likely soon to jag down again.")

Are there any useful lessons here? Yes. The first one being, "Don't be a hero -- except in very selective circumstances."

For example: Many who make the long-term gold and silver case advise avoiding too much leverage... or at the very least, keeping it on a tight leash. For most investors, leverage is like dynamite. A little bit goes a long way, and skillful handling is required. Too much leverage, like too much dynamite, is an invitation for blowing up.

The inverse of leverage is staying power. It is very hard to lose a third of your money in a month (as Salida did) if you are focused on staying power. A key aspect of winning the game is making sure you play for a long time -- that you are never carried out.

There are traders and investors who understand this, and hedge funds that understand it too. They maintain staying power by considering the risk first, keeping leverage in check and focusing on asymmetric bets. (This is exactly the kind of thing my colleague Zach Scheidt does, for instance, in Hedge Fund Strategist.)

An asymmetric bet is one in which the downside is low, or limited, but the potential gain is attractive.

Trading strategy examples for limiting risk include cutting losses quickly or structuring trades with options, such that the potential gain is many multiples of the potential loss. Investing strategy examples include a deep value focus, purchasing assets for less than their true worth, and emphasizing staying power (not using too much leverage) so as not to be shaken out.

More than ever, 2011 has proven itself a year for focusing on risk. Fortunately this is a specialty of Insiders Strategy Group, with multiple tools available for limiting downside and maximizing upside.

Warm Regards,


Publisher's Note: Justice has it right... not all hedge funds are cut from the same cloth. At our Hedge Fund Strategist, Zach Scheidt believes true diversification has nothing to do with how many stocks or bonds you own. It's all about diversifying across strategies.

But in his latest special report, even Zach warns his techniques are not for everybody. Most investors are too timid...

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